Monthly Archives: August 2016

All about property and bonds

Old Mutual Investment Group sees domestic equities, property and bonds delivering higher returns in 2017, on the back of improving economic prospects.

It expects peaking interest rates and inflation in South Africa to create a positive environment for interest rate sensitive assets such as domestic property and bonds.  It sees inflation averaging at 5.4% in 2017 compared with 6.3% in 2016 and the benchmark repurchase rates falling to 6.5% by the end of 2017, down from 7% currently.

According to Peter Brooke, head of Old Mutual Investment Group’s MacroSolutions Boutique the 13.5% return on domestic bonds year-to-date as at November 24 2016 is artificially high due to an oversold bond market.

Instead, he said SA cash – with a 6.8% return in rand terms – is the best performing local asset class thus far. SA listed property delivered returns of 4% and the FTSE-JSE Share Weighted Index (SWIX) returned 2.5% over the same period.

After starting the year with the highest level of cash in its fund ever, the group is seeing more opportunities in equities as the domestic equity market de-rates.

“We’re not at the stage where the JSE is cheap yet. It is on a 13x forward but it does offer a real return in the region of 5%. We’re not back to levels that we have enjoyed for the last 100 years of around 6.5% but value is starting to incrementally rebuild,” he said.

As a result, the group upped its long term expected real returns on SA equities from 4.5% to 5% and SA property from 5% to 5.5%.

Applications affect your credit score

There is a view among many South African consumers that applying for a bond at more than one bank will have negative consequences. The belief is that these enquiries will impact on your credit score and therefore hurt your chances of getting a loan or push up its cost if you are successful.

Many people only apply at their own bank for just this reason. They think that they are taking a risk if they shop around.

This raises some obvious concerns. After all, you are only exercising your rights as a consumer to compare prices, so why should you be penalised for it?

Footprinting

What is a given is that every time you apply for a loan of any sort, this will be recorded on your credit profile. This is called footprinting, and credit providers may use this information to assess you.

“Credit providers consider a multitude of factors when vetting applications for credit, one of which would be demand for certain types of credit,” explains David Coleman, the head of analytics at Experian South Africa. “A sudden surge in demand for unsecured or short term credit, linked with signs of stress building on indebtedness and repayment capacity of the consumer, would result in the credit provider taking a more cautious approach in extending further credit to such a consumer.”

However, short term credit is not the same as long term credit like a home loan in this regard. In fact, Nedbank says that it views multiple applications for a bond made at the same time as a single enquiry.

The head of credit for FNB retail, Hannalie Crous explains that they also make a distinction:

“From an FNB perspective we do not look at number of bureau enquiries pertaining to home loans as a key determinant of a credit score,” she says. “The handful of credit bureau enquires associated with a bond application will have no effect, however  a consistent trend indicating that a consumer is taking on multiple loans could influence the outcome of a credit application.”

Not all bureaus will see you the same

In other words, the banks don’t see it as a negative if you shop around for a bond. A number of credit bureaus approached by Moneyweb also took the same line, although with a caveat:

“Each credit bureau and each credit provider that has their own in-house score will score consumers using their own criteria,” says Michelle Dickens, the MD of TPN. “It’s not a one size fits all. As a result there will be a higher weighting towards different aspects of data that will improve or decline the ultimate overall score.”

The diagnosed of Diabetics

A friend was on holiday in a small town when her baby’s scheduled immunisation was due. After being directed to the local clinic who had the stock of the required vaccination, she duly fell in line with other patients to open a new clinic file. Although it seemed that many patients waiting in the queue could read, the clinic assistant in charge was adamant on reading the questions and completing the forms on their behalf.

“Do you have disabilities?” It would thunder through the room, and so forth. By the time it was my friend’s turn, she insisted on reading the questions herself. And to her surprise, the “disabilities” everybody was questioned about, turned out to be “diabetes”. None of those in front of her had disabilities, but should they have been questioned correctly, they could have confirmed their diabetic status.

Among the top five most prevalent chronic conditions

Diabetes is one of the world’s fastest growing lifestyle diseases. In 2015 South Africa had 2.28 million cases of diabetes according to the International Diabetes Federation (IDF). The problem is that for every diagnosed adult, there is an estimated one undiagnosed adult. The number of undiagnosed cases in South Africa is projected at around 1.39 million.

Both diabetes mellitus types 1 and 2 rank among the top five most prevalent chronic conditions under medical scheme members.

Although it is one of the most prevalent conditions and the coverage ratio for medical scheme members with Diabetes mellitus Type 2 is slowly increasing, the coverage still seems to be low.

The proportion of Diabetes mellitus type 2 patients claiming for chronic disease medicine was a mere 28.8% in 2015, the Council of Medical Schemes Annual Report shows.

The coverage of monitoring tests, such as the creatinine test was 33% in 2015 and coverage for the HbA1c test was 26.2%. It was at similar levels the previous years.

This is despite Diabetes insipidus and Diabetes mellitus types 1 and 2 being covered as chronic conditions under prescribed minimum benefits (PMBs). This means that medical schemes must cover costs of all members who suffers from diabetes, regardless of their benefit option.

Use your medical scheme benefits

Schemes usually have screening benefits to diagnose diabetes as well as wellness and chronic illness treatment programmes for affected members.

Plans for chronic conditions typically involve consultations with doctors, blood tests, treatments and medication.

“Diabetes treatment programmes generally include two GP consultations, which are often used to renew prescriptions for the next six months; 2 specialist consultations; and blood tests,” says Deon Heydenrych of Stapleford Insurance Brokers.

Even though an illness is a PMB, medical schemes can have their own cost-effective measures, such as lists of medication and designated service provider consultations which are covered without any excess.

This is where confusion about cover often kicks in. It means that if the scheme member decides to use a different service provider or medicine, the cost will only be covered up to a limit and the member will be responsible for the rest.

Heydenrych says it is also crucial that members register their chronic illness with the scheme. Only if you are registered as a chronic illness sufferer you will be able to receive all the benefits.